LUMPY DEMAND FORECASTING USING LINEAR EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING, ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK, AND BOOTSTRAP
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Forecasting with exponential smoothing methods and bootstrap
The Boot.EXPOS procedure is an algorithm that combines the use of exponential smoothing methods with the bootstrap methodology for obtaining forecasts. In previous works the authors have studied and analyzed the interaction between these two methodologies. The initial sketch of the procedure was developed, modified and evaluated until its final form designated as Boot.EXPOS.
متن کاملscour modeling piles of kambuzia industrial city bridge using hec-ras and artificial neural network
today, scouring is one of the important topics in the river and coastal engineering so that the most destruction in the bridges is occurred due to this phenomenon. whereas the bridges are assumed as the most important connecting structures in the communications roads in the country and their importance is doubled while floodwater, thus exact design and maintenance thereof is very crucial. f...
Forecasting Intermittent Demand by Hyperbolic-Exponential Smoothing
Croston’s method is generally viewed as superior to exponential smoothing when demand is intermittent, but it has the drawbacks of bias and an inability to deal with obsolescence, in which an item’s demand ceases altogether. Several variants have been reported, some of which are unbiased on certain types of demand, but only one recent variant addresses the problem of obsolescence. We describe a...
متن کاملShort-term electricity demand forecasting using double seasonal exponential smoothing
This paper considers univariate online electricity demand forecasting for lead times from a half-hour-ahead to a day-ahead. A time series of demand recorded at half-hourly intervals contains more than one seasonal pattern. A within-day seasonal cycle is apparent from the similarity of the demand profile from one day to the next, and a within-week seasonal cycle is evident when one compares the ...
متن کاملForecasting Natural Gas Demand Using Meteorological Data: Neural Network Method
The need for prediction and patterns of gas consumption especially in the cold seasons is essential for consumption management and policy planning decision making. In residential and commercial uses which account for the bulk of gas consumption in the country the effects of meteorological variables have the highest impact on consumption. In the present research four variables include daily ave...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Angkasa: Jurnal Ilmiah Bidang Teknologi
سال: 2018
ISSN: 2581-1355,2085-9503
DOI: 10.28989/angkasa.v10i2.362